‘The Situation is Dire’: War on Iran Constricts India's Kitchen Fuel Supplies.
The shockwaves of a war being fought nearly a significant distance away are now impacting India's households.
As military actions on Iran disrupt energy deliveries through the key maritime chokepoint, availability of cooking gas are dwindling across India, compelling restaurants to cut menus, reduce operating times and in some cases close completely.
Social media is flooded by video clips showing lines outside cooking-gas dealers across Indian cities and towns as worries over fuel supplies spread. Commercial LPG users appear the most affected: the biggest crunch is in restaurant kitchens.
"The state of affairs is alarming. Kitchen fuel simply isn't available," says a representative of the an industry group.
Most eateries run either on industrial fuel canisters or pipeline-supplied fuel, and the lack of supply are now being experienced across the country. "Numerous restaurants have shut down - some in Delhi, many in the south. People are turning to traditional burners and induction stoves to keep kitchens going."
City-Specific Fallout
In a financial hub, local news say up to a significant portion of hotels and restaurants are already completely or partially closed as commercial LPG supplies dry up. In the southern cities of Bengaluru and Chennai, some establishments say their gas stocks have depleted with minimal reserves. "Our menu is reduced to coffee and no other dishes - it is truly dismal. Operations will be impacted," says a chain proprietor in Bengaluru.
Restaurant operators are seeking alternatives. "Menus are being curtailed, some are cutting lunch service and reducing hours," an industry representative says, adding that shutdowns are fluctuating as supplies ebb and flow. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - a couple are back in business. It's a dynamic scenario."
Retailers note a surge in sales of induction stoves, with some saying they are selling out quickly.
Authority's View
Yet, the authorities maintains there is adequate supply.
India has more than 30 crore household consumers and authorities say cylinders are being redirected to households as tensions from the war in the Gulf affect energy markets.
About a majority of India's LPG is sourced from abroad, and about nine out of ten of those imports pass through the critical waterway, the vital passage now effectively closed by the conflict.
The oil ministry says that it ordered refineries to maximise LPG output for domestic use, lifting domestic production by about a quarter. Non-domestic supply is being prioritised for essential sectors such as hospitals and educational institutions, while distribution will be "equitable and clear".
"Unnecessary hoarding and hoarding has been triggered by rumors. The standard supply timeline for household cylinders remains about under three days," says a government spokesperson.
Widening Concern
Now the anxiety is moving beyond kitchens. On online networks, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a lengthy, winding line of scooters outside a gas outlet. "Anxiety is palpable," the text reads.
According to reports from energy specialists, concerns about India's broader petroleum stocks may be exaggerated.
India imports almost all of its oil. Around a significant portion of its oil purchases - about 2.5-2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the strait, largely from Gulf countries.
Even if oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are blocked, the gap could be partly compensated for by higher imports of Russian petroleum, according to a sector expert.
Based on shipping data and industry information, additional Russian crude imports could reach around 1-1.2 million barrels a day, reducing India's effective deficit from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about a substantial volume of barrels a day.
"A large quantity of Russian oil barrels are currently in transit at sea in the Indian Ocean and, with only key buyers as major buyers, those barrels remain a viable alternative," an analyst noted.
Cooking Gas: The Critical Weakness
The key weakness is LPG, commentators observe.
India consumes roughly one million barrels a day, but produces only less than half domestically, importing the rest - the vast majority through the chokepoint.
Refineries can modify output to squeeze out a bit more LPG, but even a limited rise would only raise domestic supply to about 47-50% of demand, leaving the country heavily reliant on imports.
In short: "Crude supply risk can be partially mitigated through alternative sourcing. Fuel availability remains fairly adequate. Kitchen fuel stocks is the key factor to track in the coming weeks."
What may be worsening the anxiety on the ground is not just scarcity but erratic supply chains - and the familiar spectre of panic buying.
An industry representative claims price gouging.
"Retailers are taking advantage of the situation - selling fuel on the black market and selling them at a high cost. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being hoarded and sold to the highest bidder."
For now, India's energy imports may be protected by international market dynamics. But in restaurants across the country, the more pressing concern is simple: how to get the next cylinder.